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Red30
511017.8
522315.2
51756.2
Blue18
531414.7
388612.7
36037.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342204060801001203018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#32
17.80.3
12.512.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
5314
#29
14.70.1
11.010.9
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5223
#23
15.20.3
14.013.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
3886
#26
12.70.0
8.68.5
Auto0.3
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
5175
#38
6.20.3
6.86.5
Auto0.3
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3603
#40
7.50.1
5.25.1
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0