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Red72
5135.7
511017.8
518311.3
Blue58
569221.0
388612.7
523016.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54290204060801001207258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#3
35.71.9
35.137.0
Auto0.7
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 14.7
5692
#17
21.01.7
16.618.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5110
#32
17.81.9
12.214.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
5230
#24
16.41.7
9.010.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
5183
#37
11.31.3
4.45.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3886
#26
12.71.2
8.59.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.4
End0.0