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Red79
171131.0
376726.3
557515.4
Blue26
556226.4
437612.8
353714.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585002040801001201407926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.0
24.525.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
26.41.4
25.824.4
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
26.31.0
21.722.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 11.6
3537
#33
14.61.8
14.612.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5575
#28
15.41.0
13.214.1
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 2.6
4376
#36
12.81.8
13.111.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0