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Red55
439823.9
522315.2
5135.7
Blue43
498320.0
368827.7
550521.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755801001505543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#3
35.71.4
37.035.7
Auto0.7
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 8.0
3688
#13
27.71.3
23.622.3
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
23.91.0
22.721.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
5505
#12
21.01.3
20.218.9
Auto0.7
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
5223
#23
15.21.4
15.514.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4983
#15
20.01.0
18.917.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0