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Red30
86237.5
570910.0
521321.9
Blue12
511017.8
36037.5
52479.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75210501001502003012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
37.52.0
35.033.1
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 19.7
5110
#32
17.81.2
14.112.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
5213
#11
21.92.0
22.720.7
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 12.4
5247
#39
9.50.9
9.28.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
5709
#34
10.02.6
11.99.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
3603
#40
7.51.2
6.65.4
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0