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Red68
523016.4
507214.1
556226.4
Blue30
224616.8
531414.7
90422.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415301001506830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.2
24.425.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 3.8
904
#16
22.71.0
23.322.3
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
5230
#24
16.41.6
10.812.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2246
#30
16.80.8
16.715.9
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.11.6
9.511.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
5314
#29
14.71.1
12.711.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0