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Red26
522315.2
317515.0
224616.8
Blue17
570910.0
52479.5
569221.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060801001202617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#30
16.81.0
15.914.9
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5692
#17
21.00.8
18.117.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
5223
#23
15.21.2
14.213.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 5.2
5709
#34
10.00.8
9.38.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
3175
#35
15.01.2
15.013.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 5.5
5247
#39
9.50.6
8.37.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0