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Red78
24541.9
507214.1
368827.7
Blue42
361822.8
511017.8
9414.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7240020601001201401607842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
41.90.7
36.737.4
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 19.1
3618
#14
22.80.1
20.620.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
3688
#13
27.70.9
22.323.1
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
5110
#32
17.80.1
12.913.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.10.9
11.011.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 0.2
94
#18
14.40.1
12.812.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0