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Red58
498818.9
557515.4
556011.4
Blue48
36037.5
353714.6
439216.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060801005848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#19
18.91.1
15.816.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
4392
#22
16.90.9
14.815.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
5575
#28
15.40.9
14.115.1
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 0.7
3537
#33
14.60.9
12.813.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
5560
#27
11.40.9
9.410.4
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 3.9
3603
#40
7.50.9
5.46.3
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0