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Red72
521321.9
498320.0
569221.0
Blue87
531414.7
550521.0
376726.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5554304050607080907287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5213
#11
21.91.1
20.721.7
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 4.4
26.31.5
25.226.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5692
#17
21.01.2
17.318.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Level
5505
#12
21.01.7
19.321.0
Auto0.7
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4983
#15
20.01.1
18.920.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 5.3
5314
#29
14.71.9
11.613.5
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0