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Red67
353714.6
90422.7
557515.4
Blue98
522315.2
518311.3
24541.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485801001506798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#16
22.70.9
22.323.2
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 19.2
245
#1
41.92.0
37.439.4
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
5575
#28
15.40.8
15.115.9
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 0.1
5223
#23
15.22.2
13.015.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
3537
#33
14.60.9
13.714.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 3.3
5183
#37
11.32.0
7.99.9
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0