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Red76
52479.5
498818.9
224616.8
Blue118
361822.8
86237.5
159627.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308305010015020076118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4988
#19
18.92.0
16.918.9
Auto0.5
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 18.6
862
#2
37.52.0
34.136.1
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
2246
#30
16.81.8
14.916.8
Auto0.4
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 10.2
1596
#10
27.02.2
23.125.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
5247
#39
9.51.8
7.79.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 13.2
3618
#14
22.82.2
20.722.9
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0