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Red110
171131.0
24541.9
569221.0
Blue71
508616.8
439126.4
511017.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9251015020011071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
41.90.3
40.440.7
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 15.4
26.40.2
25.826.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
31.00.3
29.529.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 13.2
5110
#32
17.80.2
17.217.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5692
#17
21.00.3
19.419.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
5086
#21
16.80.2
16.116.3
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0