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Red60
439823.9
376726.3
557515.4
Blue27
90422.7
556226.4
9414.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64633040506070806027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.1
26.426.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 0.2
26.40.6
27.126.4
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
23.90.1
24.023.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
904
#16
22.70.6
23.322.7
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5575
#28
15.40.1
15.515.4
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
94
#18
14.40.6
15.014.4
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0