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Red84
368827.7
86237.5
518311.3
Blue86
508616.8
439126.4
511017.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765401001508486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
37.50.1
37.137.2
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 11.1
26.40.4
26.026.4
Auto0.9
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
3688
#13
27.70.1
27.327.4
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
5110
#32
17.80.4
17.417.8
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5183
#37
11.30.1
10.911.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5086
#21
16.80.4
16.316.8
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0