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Red88
171835.0
505328.4
477922.6
Blue68
504815.2
30830.3
473713.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895101001502008868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto0.8
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 4.7
308
#8
30.30.2
30.130.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 13.2
5048
#22
15.20.2
15.115.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
4779
#12
22.60.0
22.622.6
Auto1.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 9.1
4737
#25
13.50.2
13.313.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0