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Red129
213738.5
6755.6
370718.4
Blue133
21739.5
102542.8
504627.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104104100110115120125129133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
55.60.4
54.154.6
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 12.8
42.80.4
42.342.7
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
38.50.4
37.037.4
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
blue by 1.1
217
#4
39.50.4
39.139.5
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
3707
#26
18.40.4
17.017.4
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5046
#15
27.10.4
26.627.0
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0