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Red101
21739.5
102542.8
504627.1
Blue51
522923.2
547822.0
437720.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10956015020010151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
41.241.1
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
red by 19.5
5229
#18
23.20.3
23.523.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
217
#4
39.50.1
37.937.9
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 17.5
5478
#11
22.00.3
22.322.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
5046
#15
27.10.1
25.525.4
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 6.5
4377
#19
20.60.3
20.920.6
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0