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Red57
473713.5
31312.1
30830.3
Blue80
261929.1
55616.6
481921.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37360102030506070805780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#8
30.31.6
17.719.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop30.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
2619
#14
29.13.5
18.021.5
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
4737
#25
13.51.0
7.38.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4819
#17
21.03.5
14.618.1
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
313
#33
12.11.6
12.414.1
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 5.5
5561
#35
6.62.1
5.87.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0