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Red26
365629.1
504815.2
341412.2
Blue6
485117.6
47018.3
413025.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50390206080100120140266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.5
19.117.6
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
25.93.0
19.316.2
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
5048
#22
15.21.5
12.911.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
470
#27
18.33.0
10.06.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
3414
#36
12.21.5
18.416.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4851
#20
17.63.0
13.110.0
Auto2.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0