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Red45
55616.6
30830.3
547822.0
Blue59
477922.6
102542.8
341412.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3665020801001201401604559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
308
#8
30.30.2
19.419.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop30.8
End0.0
blue by 12.5
42.80.2
30.230.0
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
5478
#11
22.00.2
15.515.7
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 0.6
4779
#12
22.60.3
15.114.8
Auto1.0
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
5561
#35
6.60.1
7.37.4
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 5.6
3414
#36
12.20.3
17.717.4
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0