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Red28
521613.9
437720.6
504627.1
Blue96
504815.2
413025.9
309822.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324702060801001201401602896

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#15
27.10.6
15.915.3
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
25.94.1
17.922.0
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
4377
#19
20.60.6
14.313.6
Auto2.0
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3098
#31
22.34.1
19.623.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5216
#32
13.90.6
5.34.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5048
#22
15.24.1
9.213.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0