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Red44
521613.9
47018.3
473713.5
Blue74
102542.8
6755.6
45077.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10980501502004474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#27
18.31.7
9.010.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 37.3
67
#1
55.61.2
46.945.7
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
5216
#32
13.91.7
4.76.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 28.9
42.80.7
30.029.3
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Third
4737
#25
13.51.0
10.311.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
4507
#34
7.81.2
11.310.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0