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Red44
213738.5
504627.1
522923.2
Blue26
261929.1
52252.0
365629.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5441020801001201404426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.50.9
28.027.2
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 9.3
29.11.5
18.817.3
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
5046
#15
27.10.9
15.314.4
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 2.0
2619
#14
29.11.5
16.615.1
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5229
#18
23.20.9
11.010.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 21.2
5225
#38
2.01.5
8.97.4
Auto0.2
Teleop1.8
End0.0