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Red40
21739.5
505328.4
413025.9
Blue11
565013.9
52332.7
30830.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68280501001504011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
39.52.0
24.922.9
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 9.3
308
#8
30.32.0
21.819.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
28.42.0
16.214.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.7
End0.0
red by 14.5
5650
#24
13.92.0
8.96.9
Auto1.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
25.92.0
22.720.7
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 23.2
5233
#39
2.72.0
4.52.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0