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Red14
309822.3
570314.0
370718.4
Blue18
47018.3
31312.1
6755.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35740501001501418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3098
#31
22.32.3
22.019.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
blue by 33.3
67
#1
55.64.4
45.741.3
Auto4.3
Teleop51.2
End0.0
Second
3707
#26
18.42.3
12.09.6
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
470
#27
18.34.4
10.66.2
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
5703
#29
14.02.3
8.25.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.9
313
#33
12.14.4
14.410.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0