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Red87
261929.1
521613.9
506712.9
Blue112
213738.5
547822.0
377317.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25600408010012014087112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
#14
29.14.6
15.119.7
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
38.54.6
27.231.8
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
Second
5216
#32
13.94.6
6.411.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5478
#11
22.04.6
16.521.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
5067
#30
12.92.8
10.112.9
Auto0.9
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
3773
#23
17.44.6
12.817.4
Auto1.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0