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Red16
341412.2
565013.9
56627.0
Blue12
522923.2
473713.5
45077.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382902060801001201612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5650
#24
13.91.8
6.95.1
Auto1.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 9.3
5229
#18
23.21.6
10.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
3414
#36
12.21.8
16.614.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4737
#25
13.51.0
11.310.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5662
#37
7.01.8
14.112.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
4507
#34
7.81.6
10.18.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0