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Red30
413025.9
341412.2
52252.0
Blue44
56627.0
370718.4
473713.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472504060801001201401603044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.3
19.619.3
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
3707
#26
18.41.2
14.215.4
Auto1.5
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
3414
#36
12.20.3
18.718.4
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 1.3
4737
#25
13.50.7
6.57.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
5225
#38
2.00.3
7.47.1
Auto0.2
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 5.0
5662
#37
7.01.6
11.39.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0