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Red58
102542.8
485117.6
52332.7
Blue8
47018.3
481921.0
522923.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564002080100120140160588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.1
33.133.3
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
red by 19.5
5229
#18
23.23.0
13.610.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
4851
#20
17.60.2
12.813.1
Auto2.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4819
#17
21.03.0
17.714.6
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
Third
5233
#39
2.70.2
9.49.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0
blue by 15.6
470
#27
18.33.0
13.010.0
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0