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Red14
52252.0
213738.5
481921.0
Blue16
47018.3
377317.4
341412.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71310501001502001416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.54.4
31.827.3
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 20.2
470
#27
18.31.9
6.24.4
Auto0.4
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
4819
#17
21.04.4
28.223.7
Auto1.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0
red by 3.6
3773
#23
17.41.9
17.415.6
Auto1.4
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
5225
#38
2.04.4
7.43.0
Auto0.2
Teleop1.8
End0.0
blue by 10.2
3414
#36
12.21.9
14.812.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0