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Red50
171835.0
565013.9
522923.2
Blue106
504815.2
473713.5
21739.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4347020608010012014016050106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.4
31.431.8
Auto0.8
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 4.5
217
#4
39.54.8
25.730.6
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
5229
#18
23.20.4
8.58.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 8.0
5048
#22
15.24.8
12.016.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5650
#24
13.90.4
5.15.5
Auto1.3
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 0.4
4737
#25
13.52.9
10.313.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0