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Red40
504627.1
45077.8
31312.1
Blue6
547822.0
506712.9
50321.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32540100150406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#15
27.10.3
18.018.3
Auto2.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 5.1
5478
#11
22.03.9
21.117.2
Auto0.1
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
313
#33
12.10.3
10.010.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 9.1
503
#21
21.12.3
18.816.4
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
4507
#34
7.80.3
8.58.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5067
#30
12.92.3
12.910.6
Auto0.9
Teleop12.1
End0.0