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Red39
506712.9
285124.0
365629.1
Blue8
52332.7
56627.0
504815.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6526050100150398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.11.6
27.225.6
Auto2.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
5048
#22
15.21.8
18.616.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
2851
#16
24.01.6
23.822.2
Auto1.0
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 17.0
5662
#37
7.01.8
11.09.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
Third
5067
#30
12.91.1
10.29.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
5233
#39
2.71.8
3.61.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0