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Red132
261929.1
213738.5
21739.5
Blue132
102542.8
413025.9
125.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7872050100150200132132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#4
39.53.5
29.633.1
Auto0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
blue by 3.2
42.82.8
38.040.8
Auto1.5
Teleop41.3
End0.0
Second
38.53.7
27.831.5
Auto0.8
Teleop37.7
End0.0
red by 12.6
25.93.7
21.525.3
Auto0.2
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
2619
#14
29.13.7
22.826.5
Auto0.2
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 3.2
1
#10
25.83.7
16.220.0
Auto0.8
Teleop25.1
End0.0