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Red172
213760.0
191855.1
240530.4
Blue145
10757.0
496753.3
360319.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212150100200250172145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.5
59.660.0
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
107
#5
57.00.3
56.757.0
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
55.10.5
54.755.1
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
53.30.3
53.153.3
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
2405
#14
30.40.5
29.930.4
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 10.8
3603
#26
19.60.3
19.319.6
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0