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Red195
213760.0
191855.1
240530.4
Blue113
10757.0
496753.3
360319.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13912350100150200250195113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.9
58.759.6
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 3.0
107
#5
57.00.2
56.956.7
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
55.10.9
53.854.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 1.8
53.30.2
53.253.1
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
2405
#14
30.40.9
29.029.9
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 10.8
3603
#26
19.60.2
19.519.3
Auto0.5
Teleop19.1
End0.0