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Red186
213760.0
191855.1
240530.4
Blue82
335732.7
357231.6
150229.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1428205010020025018682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.8
57.458.2
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 27.4
3357
#16
32.70.2
32.932.7
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
55.10.8
52.553.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 23.5
3572
#12
31.60.2
31.831.6
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Third
2405
#14
30.40.8
27.728.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
1502
#19
29.40.2
29.629.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0