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Red151
205452.5
400347.3
495624.6
Blue124
171844.8
22639.9
277129.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120108406080100140160180200151124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.5
52.052.4
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
1718
#11
44.80.2
44.644.8
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
47.30.5
46.847.2
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 7.4
226
#9
39.90.2
39.739.9
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
4956
#24
24.60.5
24.124.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 5.1
2771
#15
29.70.2
29.529.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0