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Red82
7432.9
240530.4
335732.7
Blue94
90433.6
10757.0
557413.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437701001502008294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#8
32.91.6
12.013.6
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0
blue by 24.1
107
#5
57.01.3
44.746.0
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
3357
#16
32.71.6
22.223.8
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 0.9
904
#13
33.61.3
23.324.6
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
2405
#14
30.41.6
16.017.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 17.4
5574
#37
13.01.3
6.77.9
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End0.0