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Red136
525516.4
191855.1
171844.8
Blue60
345820.7
205452.5
400434.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617905010015020013660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.13.5
25.228.7
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
52.51.0
39.538.5
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
1718
#11
44.83.5
35.438.9
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 10.7
4004
#20
34.21.0
27.426.4
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Third
5255
#25
16.43.5
5.79.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3458
#33
20.71.0
12.511.5
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0