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Red18
150229.4
357231.6
354626.2
Blue44
85831.9
517318.4
277129.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415801001502002501844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#12
31.60.7
18.918.2
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
blue by 0.3
858
#21
31.91.1
20.719.6
Auto0.8
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
1502
#19
29.41.2
12.611.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
blue by 0.3
2771
#15
29.70.7
23.622.9
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
3546
#22
26.21.2
13.312.1
Auto2.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 7.7
5173
#30
18.40.7
13.212.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0