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Red48
14121.8
354626.2
22639.9
Blue56
335732.7
495624.6
499514.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424202060804856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#9
39.90.6
16.016.6
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 7.2
3357
#16
32.70.5
21.722.2
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
3546
#22
26.20.6
12.813.3
Auto2.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 1.5
4956
#24
24.60.5
15.215.7
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
141
#28
21.80.3
12.512.8
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 7.3
4995
#35
14.50.9
8.59.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0