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Red80
456819.4
213760.0
566421.2
Blue36
557413.0
400434.2
357231.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665202040801001201408036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.7
38.539.1
Auto0.3
Teleop59.7
End0.0
red by 25.9
4004
#20
34.21.0
28.427.4
Auto0.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
5664
#32
21.20.7
15.316.0
Auto0.4
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 10.4
3572
#12
31.61.0
19.918.9
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Third
4568
#38
19.41.1
12.713.8
Auto2.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
5574
#37
13.01.0
7.76.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End0.0