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Red104
544816.4
191855.1
517318.4
Blue115
171844.8
90433.6
7432.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49860100150200104115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.12.4
31.834.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 10.3
1718
#11
44.81.6
41.543.1
Auto2.4
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
5173
#30
18.42.4
13.315.7
Auto0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 15.2
904
#13
33.61.6
25.427.0
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
5448
#36
16.42.4
11.513.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 16.5
74
#8
32.91.6
16.217.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.6
End0.0