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Red26
557413.0
516220.6
555920.2
Blue116
499514.5
357231.6
205452.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307005010015026116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5162
#39
20.60.0
15.415.4
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 31.9
52.52.5
39.942.4
Auto11.1
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Second
5559
#31
20.20.0
11.711.7
Auto0.8
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 11.5
3572
#12
31.62.5
19.021.5
Auto1.6
Teleop30.1
End0.0
Third
5574
#37
13.00.0
10.510.5
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4995
#35
14.54.2
7.311.4
Auto2.7
Teleop11.8
End0.0