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Red108
547030.4
400347.3
277129.7
Blue74
335732.7
10757.0
496753.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111705010015020025010874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.4
34.535.9
Auto12.4
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 9.7
107
#5
57.02.0
48.946.9
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
5470
#17
30.41.4
24.425.8
Auto1.1
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 22.9
53.32.0
41.539.5
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
2771
#15
29.71.4
21.923.2
Auto0.6
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3357
#16
32.72.0
23.521.5
Auto0.3
Teleop32.4
End0.0