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Red70
445320.0
345820.7
240530.4
Blue121
150229.4
531624.3
22639.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643020608010012070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#14
30.41.2
18.619.8
Auto0.8
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 9.5
226
#9
39.96.2
16.622.8
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Second
3458
#33
20.71.2
12.313.5
Auto0.9
Teleop19.8
End0.0
blue by 8.7
1502
#19
29.46.2
16.222.4
Auto0.7
Teleop28.7
End0.0
Third
4453
#23
20.01.2
14.816.0
Auto1.1
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5316
#29
24.36.2
14.220.4
Auto0.7
Teleop23.6
End0.0