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Red126
323433.2
191855.1
547030.4
Blue102
14121.8
10757.0
207534.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898550607080100110120130126102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.11.7
36.638.3
Auto-1.0
Teleop56.1
End0.0
blue by 1.9
107
#5
57.00.7
44.244.9
Auto8.7
Teleop48.3
End0.0
Second
3234
#18
33.21.7
27.028.8
Auto1.3
Teleop31.9
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2075
#10
34.40.7
33.834.4
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
5470
#17
30.41.7
27.929.7
Auto1.1
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 8.6
141
#28
21.80.7
10.611.3
Auto1.4
Teleop20.4
End0.0