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Red134
557413.0
496753.3
22639.9
Blue90
433717.2
354626.2
90433.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7854010015013490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.32.9
40.943.8
Auto5.9
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 19.8
904
#13
33.61.5
27.829.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
226
#9
39.94.8
26.431.2
Auto0.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 13.7
3546
#22
26.22.5
18.921.4
Auto2.9
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
5574
#37
13.02.9
9.312.2
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
4337
#34
17.21.5
12.914.4
Auto1.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0